Where we’re at on Thursday snow.
Ξ October 21st, 2009 | → | ∇ Weather |
We will continue to fill the rain gauges throughout the night with 1-2″ amounts still a possibility. The primary questions concern snowfall and this is where it really gets interesting. The amount of snow, or even whether it snows at all, may come down to as little as three degrees of accuracy.
I think we will see some snow, the amounts remain somewhat of a puzzle. The track of the storm and the amount of moisture available to it is working in favor of appreciable snow. Fighting against that is the warmth of the ground which allows for some melting, and how warm the temperatures will be in the last 100 feet to the surface. Forecast models have us in the mid 30s, holding steady or gradually falling through the afternoon. If that holds we could be seeing only rain, or a rain snow mix. If the dynamics can squeeze out heavier snow, the lower levels could cool by its own merit enabling more snow to accumulate. We call that dynamic cooling.
At this point I’m hesitant to go too heavy on snow amounts for the Tri-Cities. Southwest Nebraska will see the most (3-6″ possible) but for us we could be splitting hairs between 3″in Kearney to nothing in Hastings. At most 1 think 1 to 2″ seems reasonable on the high end.
See how fun the weather is in these parts!
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